Back to Bellator 147: Thomson vs. Villaseca
Bantamweight

Gabriel Carrasco vs Khomkrit Niimi

Bellator 147: Thomson vs. Villaseca ·San Jose State University Event Center
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Gabriel Carrasco
Khomkrit Niimi
91% 9%
Why
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Carrasco: 19 sig / 0 TD · Niimi: 0 sig / 0 TD
Gabriel Carrasco
Khomkrit Niimi
63
Sig strikes landed
41
145
Sig strikes attempted
122
92
Total strikes landed
53
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
4.6
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
164s
Control time
113s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Gabriel Carrasco

8-0
Career record
Height
66"
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W Bellator 142: Dynamite 1
—
Blue corner

Khomkrit Niimi

"The Bumblebee"
0-0
Career record
Height
62"