Back to Bellator 147: Thomson vs. Villaseca
Middleweight

Brandon Hester vs Idris Wasi

Bellator 147: Thomson vs. Villaseca ·San Jose State University Event Center

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Brandon Hester
Idris Wasi
94% 6%
Why
W1
Current streak
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hester: 53 sig / 4 TD · Wasi: 6 sig / 0 TD
Brandon Hester
Idris Wasi
46
Sig strikes landed
29
100
Sig strikes attempted
86
84
Total strikes landed
28
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.3
3.1
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
194s
Control time
73s
Method
Decision
27%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
24%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Brandon Hester

"The Beast"
4-0
Career record
Height
73"
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W Bellator 142: Dynamite 1
Blue corner

Idris Wasi

0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Age
26