Featherweight
AJ McKee vs John Donaldson
Bellator 147: Thomson vs. Villaseca
·San Jose State University Event Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
AJ McKee
John Donaldson
88%
12%
Why
W2
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
McKee: 14 sig / 2 TD ·
Donaldson: 4 sig / 0 TD
AJ McKee
John Donaldson
49
Sig strikes landed
39
110
Sig strikes attempted
65
86
Total strikes landed
29
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
6.9
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
117s
Control time
127s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
49%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
AJ McKee
"Mercenary"
9-0
Career record
Height
70"
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
Bellator 141: Guillard vs. Girtz
—
W
Bellator 136: Brooks vs. Jansen
—
Blue corner
John Donaldson
"J.T."
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Age
23