Catch Weight
James Terry vs Nick Barnes
Bellator 147: Thomson vs. Villaseca
·San Jose State University Event Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
James Terry
Nick Barnes
79%
21%
Why
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Terry: 25 sig / 0 TD ·
Barnes: 8 sig / 1 TD
James Terry
Nick Barnes
43
Sig strikes landed
43
101
Sig strikes attempted
94
61
Total strikes landed
53
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
158s
Control time
116s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
James Terry
"Intensity"
20-9
Career record
Height
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Bellator 142: Dynamite 1
—
Blue corner
Nick Barnes
0-0
Career record
Height
71"