Back to Bellator 147: Thomson vs. Villaseca
Featherweight

Daniel Weichel vs Georgi Karakhanyan

Bellator 147: Thomson vs. Villaseca ·San Jose State University Event Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Daniel Weichel
Georgi Karakhanyan
90% 10%
Why
31
Age
Δ 0y
30
39-10
Career record
Δ 2 pp
27-7-1
L1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Weichel: 123 sig / 0 TD · Karakhanyan: 68 sig / 0 TD
Daniel Weichel
Georgi Karakhanyan
39
Sig strikes landed
33
114
Sig strikes attempted
117
42
Total strikes landed
52
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.8
2.1
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
101s
Control time
146s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
36%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Daniel Weichel

"The Weasel"
39-10
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Age
31
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L Bellator 138: Unfinished Busine…
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W Bellator 133: Manhoef vs. Shlem…
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Blue corner
W1

Georgi Karakhanyan

"Insane"
27-7-1
Career record
Height
68"
Age
31
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W Bellator 132: Pitbull vs. Straus
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