Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Patrick Cote
Ben Saunders
60%
40%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
36
Age
Δ 3y
33
24-11
Career record
Δ 8 pp
23-13-2
W2
Current streak
W3
9
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Cote: 42 sig / 0 TD ·
Saunders: 11 sig / 1 TD
Patrick Cote
Ben Saunders
29
Sig strikes landed
36
62
Sig strikes attempted
71
50
Total strikes landed
47
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.4
3.6
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
189s
Control time
54s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Patrick Cote
"The Predator"
24-11
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Ol…
—
W
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
—
L
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—
W
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
—
Blue corner
W3
Ben Saunders
"Killa B"
23-13-2
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs D…
—
L
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen
—
L
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy
—