Prelims1
Bantamweight
Aljamain Sterling vs Johnny Eduardo
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant
·The Chelsea
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Aljamain Sterling
Johnny Eduardo
88%
12%
Why
71"
Reach
71"
26
Age
Δ 11y
37
27-5
Career record
Δ 15 pp
29-13
W3
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Sterling: 23 sig / 2 TD ·
Eduardo: 4 sig / 0 TD
Aljamain Sterling
Johnny Eduardo
42
Sig strikes landed
24
82
Sig strikes attempted
68
64
Total strikes landed
38
2.1
Takedowns landed
0.2
4.7
Takedowns attempted
0.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
286s
Control time
29s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
39%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Aljamain Sterling
"Funk Master"
27-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Mill…
—
W
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
—
Blue corner
W2
Johnny Eduardo
29-13
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie v…
—
L
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
—