Prelims1
Featherweight
Zubaira Tukhugov vs Phillipe Nover
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant
·The Chelsea
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Zubaira Tukhugov
Phillipe Nover
86%
14%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
25
Age
Δ 7y
32
21-6-1
Career record
Δ 18 pp
12-8-1
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Tukhugov: 21 sig / 1 TD ·
Nover: 20 sig / 0 TD
Zubaira Tukhugov
Phillipe Nover
35
Sig strikes landed
20
72
Sig strikes attempted
62
51
Total strikes landed
30
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.9
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.00
116s
Control time
132s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Zubaira Tukhugov
"Warrior"
21-6-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mou…
—
Blue corner
W1
Phillipe Nover
"The Filipino Assassin"
12-8-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
—
L
UFC 109: Relentless
—