Back to Bellator 146: Kato vs. Manhoef
Light Heavyweight

Guilherme Viana vs Houston Alexander

Bellator 146: Kato vs. Manhoef ·WinStar World Casino
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Guilherme Viana
Houston Alexander
80% 20%
Why
7-4
Career record
Δ 14 pp
17-16-1
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · Round 2
Viana: 48 sig / 2 TD · Alexander: 18 sig / 0 TD
Guilherme Viana
Houston Alexander
51
Sig strikes landed
49
131
Sig strikes attempted
99
56
Total strikes landed
72
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.0
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.90
141s
Control time
74s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Guilherme Viana

7-4
Career record
Height
76"
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L Bellator 135: Warren vs. Galvao
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Blue corner
L1

Houston Alexander

"The Assassin"
17-16-1 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
44
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L Bellator 132: Pitbull vs. Straus
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