Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Robert McDaniel
Kenyon Jackson
95%
5%
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Robert McDaniel
Kenyon Jackson
46
Sig strikes landed
39
100
Sig strikes attempted
80
64
Total strikes landed
55
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.6
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
180s
Control time
125s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Robert McDaniel
"Bubba"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
Blue corner
Kenyon Jackson
0-0
Career record
Height
72"