Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ricky Rainey
Chidi Njokuani
30%
70%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 3"
80"
32
Age
Δ 6y
27
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rainey: 26 sig / 2 TD ·
Njokuani: 29 sig / 0 TD
Ricky Rainey
Chidi Njokuani
33
Sig strikes landed
36
68
Sig strikes attempted
83
39
Total strikes landed
51
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.60
Knockdowns
0.30
106s
Control time
116s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
58%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Ricky Rainey
"The Sniper"
13-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Switch
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Bellator 137: Halsey vs. Grove
—
Blue corner
Chidi Njokuani
"Bang Bang"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27