Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Klayton Mai
Roshaun Jones
90%
10%
Why
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Klayton Mai
Roshaun Jones
35
Sig strikes landed
29
80
Sig strikes attempted
59
51
Total strikes landed
23
1.9
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.9
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.50
Knockdowns
0.30
132s
Control time
102s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
38%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Klayton Mai
9-3
Career record
Height
69"
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Bellator 135: Warren vs. Galvao
—
Blue corner
Roshaun Jones
0-0
Career record
Height
68"