Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Bubba Jenkins
Jordan Parsons
67%
33%
Why
28
Age
Δ 3y
25
12-4
Career record
Δ 11 pp
12-2
W1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Jenkins: 41 sig / 7 TD ·
Parsons: 28 sig / 0 TD
Bubba Jenkins
Jordan Parsons
46
Sig strikes landed
56
123
Sig strikes attempted
106
51
Total strikes landed
67
1.9
Takedowns landed
1.1
4.1
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
112s
Control time
93s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Bubba Jenkins
"The Highlight Kid"
12-4
Career record
Height
67"
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
Bellator 139: Kongo vs. Volkov
—
L
Bellator 132: Pitbull vs. Straus
—
Blue corner
W1
Jordan Parsons
"Pretty Boy"
12-2
Career record
Height
69"
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Bellator 137: Halsey vs. Grove
—