Main
Featherweight
Tatsuya Kawajiri vs Jason Knight
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Tatsuya Kawajiri
Jason Knight
60%
40%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
38
Age
Δ 14y
23
W1
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Kawajiri: 28 sig / 6 TD ·
Knight: 28 sig / 0 TD
Tatsuya Kawajiri
Jason Knight
21
Sig strikes landed
23
43
Sig strikes attempted
54
46
Total strikes landed
42
2.5
Takedowns landed
0.5
5.6
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
419s
Control time
96s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Tatsuya Kawajiri
"Crusher"
37-11-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs N…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs …
—
Blue corner
Jason Knight
"The Kid"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23