Main
Welterweight
Dong Hyun Kim vs Dominic Waters
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal
·Olympic Park Gymnastics Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Dong Hyun Kim
Dominic Waters
79%
21%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 3"
79"
34
Age
Δ 7y
27
23-4-1
Career record
Δ 22 pp
9-6
W1
Current streak
L1
11
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Kim: 6 sig / 1 TD ·
Waters: 0 sig / 0 TD
Dong Hyun Kim
Dominic Waters
31
Sig strikes landed
11
60
Sig strikes attempted
40
71
Total strikes landed
37
3.3
Takedowns landed
1.2
5.2
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
271s
Control time
153s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Dong Hyun Kim
"Stun Gun"
23-4-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
11 fights · 8-3
Last 5
W
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
—
Blue corner
L1
Dominic Waters
"Sho Nuff"
9-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
The Ultimate Fighter: American …
—