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Guangyou Ning vs Marco Beltran

UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal ·Olympic Park Gymnastics Arena

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Guangyou Ning
Marco Beltran
45% 55%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 6"
70"
34
Age
Δ 4y
30
6-4-1
Career record
Δ 5 pp
9-6
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Ning: 23 sig / 0 TD · Beltran: 30 sig / 1 TD
Guangyou Ning
Marco Beltran
26
Sig strikes landed
35
55
Sig strikes attempted
71
44
Total strikes landed
51
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.4
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
149s
Control time
127s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Guangyou Ning

"Smasher"
6-4-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
W UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le
Blue corner
W1

Marco Beltran

"Psycho"
9-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt