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Prelims1 Welterweight

Dominique Steele vs Dong Hyun Ma

UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal ·Olympic Park Gymnastics Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Dominique Steele
Dong Hyun Ma
58% 42%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
28
Age
Δ 1y
27
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Steele: 36 sig / 4 TD · Ma: 19 sig / 0 TD
Dominique Steele
Dong Hyun Ma
26
Sig strikes landed
32
47
Sig strikes attempted
61
42
Total strikes landed
51
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.4
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
350s
Control time
133s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Dominique Steele

"Non-Stop Action-Packed"
14-10
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao…
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Blue corner

Dong Hyun Ma

"Maestro"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27