Main
Featherweight
Dooho Choi vs Sam Sicilia
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal
·Olympic Park Gymnastics Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Dooho Choi
Sam Sicilia
79%
21%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 3"
67"
25
Age
Δ 5y
30
18-4-1
Career record
Δ 12 pp
16-8
W1
Current streak
W2
1
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Choi: 18 sig / 0 TD ·
Sicilia: 8 sig / 0 TD
Dooho Choi
Sam Sicilia
30
Sig strikes landed
13
62
Sig strikes attempted
37
35
Total strikes landed
19
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.2
0.6
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
46s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
28%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
37%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Dooho Choi
"The Korean Superboy"
18-4-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swans…
—
Blue corner
W2
Sam Sicilia
16-8
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
—
W
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johns…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
—
W
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Ph…
—