Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Kyle Noke
Alex Morono
45%
55%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
36
Age
Δ 10y
25
W2
Current streak
—
9
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Noke: 59 sig / 1 TD ·
Morono: 43 sig / 0 TD
Kyle Noke
Alex Morono
29
Sig strikes landed
32
67
Sig strikes attempted
66
46
Total strikes landed
48
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.9
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
110s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Kyle Noke
23-10-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
W
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—
W
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
—
L
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
—
Blue corner
Alex Morono
"The Great White"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25