Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Anthony Perosh
Gian Villante
39%
61%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
76"
43
Age
Δ 13y
30
15-11
Career record
Δ 5 pp
17-15
L1
Current streak
L1
9
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Perosh: 6 sig / 0 TD ·
Villante: 19 sig / 0 TD
Anthony Perosh
Gian Villante
34
Sig strikes landed
38
71
Sig strikes attempted
73
38
Total strikes landed
50
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.2
4.2
Takedowns attempted
0.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
164s
Control time
67s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Anthony Perosh
"The Hippo"
15-11
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
43
In our database
9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot
—
W
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
—
L
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
—
Blue corner
L1
Gian Villante
17-15
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Mar…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
W
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
—