Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Augusto Sakai
Alex Huddleston
91%
9%
Why
24
Age
Δ 5y
29
17-5-1
Career record
Δ 4 pp
7-2
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Sakai: 41 sig / 0 TD ·
Huddleston: 34 sig / 0 TD
Augusto Sakai
Alex Huddleston
56
Sig strikes landed
33
104
Sig strikes attempted
88
53
Total strikes landed
41
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.3
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
90s
Control time
35s
Method
Decision
20%
KO/TKO
75%
Submission
5%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Augusto Sakai
17-5-1
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Bellator 139: Kongo vs. Volkov
—
Blue corner
W1
Alex Huddleston
"The Shaved Gorilla"
7-2
Career record
Height
79"
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Bellator 139: Kongo vs. Volkov
—