Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Sarah Kaufman vs Valentina Shevchenko
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2
·Amway Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Sarah Kaufman
Valentina Shevchenko
33%
67%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 0"
66"
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
L1
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Kaufman: 27 sig / 1 TD ·
Shevchenko: 32 sig / 4 TD
Sarah Kaufman
Valentina Shevchenko
24
Sig strikes landed
59
65
Sig strikes attempted
123
91
Total strikes landed
93
0.7
Takedowns landed
2.0
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
148s
Control time
188s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Sarah Kaufman
18-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—
Blue corner
Valentina Shevchenko
"Bullet"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28