Back to UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2
Prelims1 Middleweight

Josh Samman vs Tamdan McCrory

UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 ·Amway Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Josh Samman
Tamdan McCrory
59% 41%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 3"
76"
28
Age
Δ 1y
29
W3
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Samman: 10 sig / 2 TD · McCrory: 39 sig / 2 TD
Josh Samman
Tamdan McCrory
28
Sig strikes landed
19
54
Sig strikes attempted
40
43
Total strikes landed
28
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
112s
Control time
91s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W3

Josh Samman

"Anqa"
14-4
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W The Ultimate Fighter: American …
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W UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
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W The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
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Blue corner

Tamdan McCrory

"The Barncat"
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
76"
Stance
Switch
Age
29