Back to UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2
Prelims1 Middleweight

CB Dollaway vs Nate Marquardt

UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 ·Amway Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
CB Dollaway
Nate Marquardt
47% 53%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
32
Age
Δ 4y
37
17-10
Career record
Δ 2 pp
35-20-2
L2
Current streak
L2
11
UFC fights in our DB
9

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Dollaway: 15 sig / 0 TD · Marquardt: 16 sig / 0 TD
CB Dollaway
Nate Marquardt
28
Sig strikes landed
25
58
Sig strikes attempted
52
47
Total strikes landed
39
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
165s
Control time
111s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

CB Dollaway

"The Doberman"
17-10
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 11 fights · 6-5
Last 5
L UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
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L UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dol…
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W UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousa…
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W UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
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L UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santo…
—
Blue corner
L2

Nate Marquardt

"The Great"
35-20-2
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database 9 fights · 3-6
Last 5
L UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
—
L UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
—
W UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Mar…
—
L UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santo…
—
L UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
—