Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Cole Miller
Jim Alers
54%
46%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
32
Age
Δ 2y
29
21-12
Career record
Δ 13 pp
13-4
L1
Current streak
L1
11
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Could Not Continue · Round 2
Miller: 28 sig / 0 TD ·
Alers: 25 sig / 0 TD
Cole Miller
Jim Alers
49
Sig strikes landed
40
114
Sig strikes attempted
89
63
Total strikes landed
59
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.8
2.3
Takedowns attempted
4.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
94s
Control time
180s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Cole Miller
"Magrinho"
21-12
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
11 fights · 6-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Ph…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonn…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
—
Blue corner
L1
Jim Alers
"The Beast"
13-4
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs N…
—