Prelims1
Featherweight
Charles Oliveira vs Myles Jury
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2
·Amway Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Charles Oliveira
Myles Jury
83%
17%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
26
Age
Δ 1y
27
37-12
Career record
Δ 2 pp
17-5
L1
Current streak
L1
14
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Oliveira: 5 sig / 1 TD ·
Jury: 5 sig / 0 TD
Charles Oliveira
Myles Jury
29
Sig strikes landed
24
62
Sig strikes attempted
63
35
Total strikes landed
36
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.0
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
90s
Control time
199s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
42%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Charles Oliveira
"Do Bronxs"
37-12
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
14 fights · 8-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Ol…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champio…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Mar…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mou…
—
Blue corner
L1
Myles Jury
"Fury"
17-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
L
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
—
W
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
—
W
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
—
W
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melend…
—