Main
Lightweight
Alex Oliveira vs Piotr Hallmann
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3
·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Alex Oliveira
Piotr Hallmann
54%
46%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 5"
72"
28
Age
Δ 0y
28
23-12-1
Career record
Δ 8 pp
18-7
W2
Current streak
L2
3
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Oliveira: 42 sig / 0 TD ·
Hallmann: 36 sig / 1 TD
Alex Oliveira
Piotr Hallmann
35
Sig strikes landed
30
83
Sig strikes attempted
65
63
Total strikes landed
48
2.2
Takedowns landed
1.0
5.8
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
232s
Control time
139s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
32%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Alex Oliveira
"Cowboy"
23-12-1
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Rom…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
—
Blue corner
L2
Piotr Hallmann
"Pletwal"
18-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs K…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Ba…
—