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Prelims2 Welterweight

Viscardi Andrade vs Gasan Umalatov

UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 ·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Viscardi Andrade
Gasan Umalatov
65% 35%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 4"
71"
32
Age
Δ 2y
33
19-7
Career record
Δ 2 pp
17-5-2
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Andrade: 78 sig / 0 TD · Umalatov: 38 sig / 0 TD
Viscardi Andrade
Gasan Umalatov
36
Sig strikes landed
28
95
Sig strikes attempted
65
50
Total strikes landed
44
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.8
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.40
Knockdowns
0.00
132s
Control time
103s
Method
Decision
72%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Viscardi Andrade

19-7
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mou…
—
W UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
—
Blue corner
L1

Gasan Umalatov

"Cobra"
17-5-2
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
—
W UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Mald…
—
L UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
—