Main
Light Heavyweight
Fabio Maldonado vs Corey Anderson
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3
·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Fabio Maldonado
Corey Anderson
46%
54%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 4"
79"
36
Age
Δ 10y
26
23-12
Career record
Δ 9 pp
15-5
L1
Current streak
W1
10
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Maldonado: 26 sig / 0 TD ·
Anderson: 60 sig / 6 TD
Fabio Maldonado
Corey Anderson
53
Sig strikes landed
59
101
Sig strikes attempted
133
76
Total strikes landed
78
0.6
Takedowns landed
2.2
2.1
Takedowns attempted
5.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
83s
Control time
201s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Fabio Maldonado
"Caipira de Aco"
23-12
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
10 fights · 5-5
Last 5
L
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
—
W
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Mald…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields
—
Blue corner
W1
Corey Anderson
"Overtime"
15-5
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
—
L
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
—
W
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edga…
—