Main
Light Heavyweight
Glover Teixeira vs Patrick Cummins
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3
·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Glover Teixeira
Patrick Cummins
90%
10%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 0"
76"
36
Age
Δ 1y
35
34-9
Career record
Δ 18 pp
11-7
W1
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Teixeira: 54 sig / 0 TD ·
Cummins: 33 sig / 4 TD
Glover Teixeira
Patrick Cummins
40
Sig strikes landed
36
82
Sig strikes attempted
83
61
Total strikes landed
52
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.4
Takedowns attempted
4.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
117s
Control time
111s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Glover Teixeira
34-9
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
—
L
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
—
L
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Ba…
—
W
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
—
Blue corner
W1
Patrick Cummins
"Durkin"
11-7
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
—
L
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dol…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs K…
—