Back to Bellator 144: Halsey vs. Carvalho
Catch Weight

Billy Giovanella vs Brandon Polcare

Bellator 144: Halsey vs. Carvalho ·Mohegan Sun Arena
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Billy Giovanella
Brandon Polcare
84% 16%
Why
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Giovanella: 0 sig / 1 TD · Polcare: 1 sig / 0 TD
Billy Giovanella
Brandon Polcare
40
Sig strikes landed
50
83
Sig strikes attempted
77
47
Total strikes landed
69
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.5
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
125s
Control time
185s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
28%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Billy Giovanella

"Wolverine"
9-6
Career record
Height
68"
Age
30
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L Bellator 140: Lima vs. Koreshkov
—
Blue corner

Brandon Polcare

0-0
Career record