Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Saul Elizondo
Amador Ramirez
53%
47%
Why
30
Age
Δ 5y
25
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Elizondo: 31 sig / 2 TD ·
Ramirez: 74 sig / 1 TD
Saul Elizondo
Amador Ramirez
38
Sig strikes landed
45
94
Sig strikes attempted
95
50
Total strikes landed
58
0.7
Takedowns landed
3.8
1.4
Takedowns attempted
4.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
126s
Control time
181s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
37%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Saul Elizondo
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Age
30
Blue corner
Amador Ramirez
0-0
Career record
Age
25