Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Bryce Mejia
Abdul Razak Alhassan
73%
27%
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Mejia: 5 sig / 0 TD ·
Razak Alhassan: 10 sig / 0 TD
Bryce Mejia
Abdul Razak Alhassan
41
Sig strikes landed
38
98
Sig strikes attempted
97
48
Total strikes landed
57
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.2
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
134s
Control time
140s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Bryce Mejia
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Blue corner
Abdul Razak Alhassan
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30