Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Vinicius Queiroz
Ewerton Teixeira
82%
18%
Why
32
Age
Δ 2y
34
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Queiroz: 29 sig / 2 TD ·
Teixeira: 18 sig / 0 TD
Vinicius Queiroz
Ewerton Teixeira
41
Sig strikes landed
39
94
Sig strikes attempted
91
58
Total strikes landed
50
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.4
0.6
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
92s
Control time
162s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Vinicius Queiroz
"Spartan"
0-0
Career record
Height
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
Blue corner
Ewerton Teixeira
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Age
34