Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
John Teixeira
Gleristone Santos
63%
37%
Why
29
Age
Δ 2y
27
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Teixeira: 66 sig / 1 TD ·
Santos: 51 sig / 0 TD
John Teixeira
Gleristone Santos
45
Sig strikes landed
36
109
Sig strikes attempted
108
62
Total strikes landed
44
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.2
3.1
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
88s
Control time
106s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
John Teixeira
"Macapa"
22-2-2
Career record
Height
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Bellator 136: Brooks vs. Jansen
—
Blue corner
Gleristone Santos
"Toninho Furia"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Age
27