Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Joey Beltran
Kendall Grove
59%
41%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 4"
79"
34
Age
Δ 1y
33
18-14
Career record
Δ 0 pp
23-18
W1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Beltran: 60 sig / 0 TD ·
Grove: 75 sig / 0 TD
Joey Beltran
Kendall Grove
84
Sig strikes landed
74
175
Sig strikes attempted
176
123
Total strikes landed
69
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.5
3.4
Takedowns attempted
4.1
1.00
Knockdowns
0.30
96s
Control time
157s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
5%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Joey Beltran
"The Mexicutioner"
18-14
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Bellator 136: Brooks vs. Jansen
—
Blue corner
L1
Kendall Grove
"Da Spyder"
23-18
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
Bellator 137: Halsey vs. Grove
—