Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Joe Warren
LC Davis
29%
71%
Why
39
Age
Δ 4y
35
15-7
Career record
Δ 7 pp
24-8
L1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Warren: 12 sig / 9 TD ·
Davis: 17 sig / 0 TD
Joe Warren
LC Davis
26
Sig strikes landed
40
70
Sig strikes attempted
97
30
Total strikes landed
50
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.8
5.3
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.70
105s
Control time
99s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Joe Warren
15-7
Career record
Height
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
Bellator 135: Warren vs. Galvao
—
Blue corner
W1
LC Davis
24-8
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Bellator 135: Warren vs. Galvao
—