Back to UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum
Prelims2 Welterweight

Vernon Ramos Ho vs Alvaro Herrera Mendoza

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum ·Arena Monterrey
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Vernon Ramos Ho
Alvaro Herrera Mendoza
57% 43%
Why
24
Age
Δ 2y
26

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Ramos Ho: 2 sig / 0 TD · Herrera Mendoza: 4 sig / 0 TD
Vernon Ramos Ho
Alvaro Herrera Mendoza
31
Sig strikes landed
33
70
Sig strikes attempted
72
39
Total strikes landed
45
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.9
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.50
159s
Control time
95s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Vernon Ramos Ho

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
Blue corner

Alvaro Herrera Mendoza

"Chango"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26