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Prelims1 Featherweight

Gabriel Benitez vs Andre Fili

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Gabriel Benitez
Andre Fili
47% 53%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
27
Age
Δ 2y
25
24-13
Career record
Δ 1 pp
25-14
W2
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Benitez: 11 sig / 0 TD · Fili: 16 sig / 1 TD
Gabriel Benitez
Andre Fili
38
Sig strikes landed
38
84
Sig strikes attempted
109
52
Total strikes landed
52
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.9
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
72s
Control time
153s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Gabriel Benitez

"Moggly"
24-13
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
W UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
Blue corner
L1

Andre Fili

"Touchy"
25-14 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
W UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
L UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
W UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santo…