Prelims1
Bantamweight
Alejandro Perez vs Scott Jorgensen
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum
·Arena Monterrey
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Alejandro Perez
Scott Jorgensen
83%
17%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 1"
66"
26
Age
Δ 7y
33
23-10-1
Career record
Δ 14 pp
15-13
L1
Current streak
L2
2
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Perez: 39 sig / 0 TD ·
Jorgensen: 11 sig / 2 TD
Alejandro Perez
Scott Jorgensen
38
Sig strikes landed
24
84
Sig strikes attempted
64
55
Total strikes landed
41
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.1
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
101s
Control time
151s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Alejandro Perez
"Turbo"
23-10-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
—
W
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
—
Blue corner
L2
Scott Jorgensen
"Young Guns"
15-13
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
11 fights · 4-7
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
—
L
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs K…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavid…
—