Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Darren Elkins
Robert Whiteford
73%
27%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
31
Age
Δ 1y
32
29-13
Career record
Δ 10 pp
15-4
L1
Current streak
W2
12
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Elkins: 40 sig / 7 TD ·
Whiteford: 23 sig / 1 TD
Darren Elkins
Robert Whiteford
26
Sig strikes landed
27
68
Sig strikes attempted
65
56
Total strikes landed
47
1.8
Takedowns landed
1.3
4.9
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
216s
Control time
139s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Darren Elkins
"The Damage"
29-13
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
12 fights · 8-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dol…
—
W
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
—
L
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kamp…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melend…
—
Blue corner
W2
Robert Whiteford
"The Hammer"
15-4
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Lei…
—
W
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
—