Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Rose Namajunas vs Angela Hill
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
·Toyota Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Rose Namajunas
Angela Hill
69%
31%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 0"
64"
23
Age
Δ 7y
31
15-9
Career record
Δ 10 pp
19-17
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Namajunas: 13 sig / 1 TD ·
Hill: 12 sig / 0 TD
Rose Namajunas
Angela Hill
50
Sig strikes landed
47
113
Sig strikes attempted
90
70
Total strikes landed
77
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.0
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.00
Knockdowns
0.20
114s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
71%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Rose Namajunas
"Thug"
15-9
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champio…
—
Blue corner
L1
Angela Hill
"Overkill"
19-17
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champio…
—