Prelims2
Middleweight
Joe Riggs vs Ron Stallings
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Joe Riggs
Ron Stallings
90%
10%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 5"
75"
33
Age
Δ 0y
33
44-18
Career record
Δ 6 pp
15-8
L2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
DQ · Round 2
Riggs: 35 sig / 2 TD ·
Stallings: 24 sig / 0 TD
Joe Riggs
Ron Stallings
21
Sig strikes landed
23
41
Sig strikes attempted
42
38
Total strikes landed
36
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.0
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
181s
Control time
64s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
25%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Joe Riggs
"Diesel"
44-18
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
—
L
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
—
Blue corner
W1
Ron Stallings
"The Choir Boy"
15-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
—
L
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Si…
—