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Jan Blachowicz vs Corey Anderson

UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 ·MGM Grand Garden Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Jan Blachowicz
Corey Anderson
65% 35%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 1"
79"
32
Age
Δ 6y
26
29-12-2
Career record
Δ 3 pp
14-6
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Blachowicz: 20 sig / 1 TD · Anderson: 84 sig / 4 TD
Jan Blachowicz
Corey Anderson
38
Sig strikes landed
41
87
Sig strikes attempted
100
51
Total strikes landed
65
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.7
2.4
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
78s
Control time
214s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Jan Blachowicz

29-12-2
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
—
Blue corner
L1

Corey Anderson

"Overtime"
14-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
—
W UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
—
W The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edga…
—