Main
Light Heavyweight
Anthony Johnson vs Jimi Manuwa
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Anthony Johnson
Jimi Manuwa
75%
25%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 2"
80"
32
Age
Δ 4y
36
22-7
Career record
Δ 1 pp
18-6
L1
Current streak
W1
7
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Johnson: 25 sig / 2 TD ·
Manuwa: 8 sig / 0 TD
Anthony Johnson
Jimi Manuwa
22
Sig strikes landed
25
47
Sig strikes attempted
47
36
Total strikes landed
41
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
130s
Control time
81s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
58%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Anthony Johnson
"Rumble"
22-7
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
L
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
—
W
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johns…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
—
W
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
—
L
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes
—
Blue corner
W1
Jimi Manuwa
"Poster Boy"
18-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDona…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic
—