Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Victor Jones
David Blanco
81%
19%
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Victor Jones
David Blanco
38
Sig strikes landed
38
89
Sig strikes attempted
86
54
Total strikes landed
72
3.4
Takedowns landed
1.5
4.6
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
180s
Control time
139s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
38%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Victor Jones
0-0
Career record
Blue corner
David Blanco
0-0
Career record
Height
67"