Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Israel Delgado
JJ Okanovich
62%
38%
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Israel Delgado
JJ Okanovich
40
Sig strikes landed
43
96
Sig strikes attempted
101
49
Total strikes landed
59
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
111s
Control time
161s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Israel Delgado
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Blue corner
JJ Okanovich
"The Bosnian Bomber"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25