Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Muhammed Lawal
Linton Vassell
79%
21%
Why
35
Age
Δ 2y
32
22-6
Career record
Δ 1 pp
19-5
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 2
Lawal: 32 sig / 2 TD ·
Vassell: 32 sig / 1 TD
Muhammed Lawal
Linton Vassell
31
Sig strikes landed
36
93
Sig strikes attempted
104
33
Total strikes landed
40
1.6
Takedowns landed
1.4
3.3
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
48s
Control time
55s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
56%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Muhammed Lawal
"King Mo"
22-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
78"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
Bellator 134: The British Invas…
—
W
Bellator 131: Tito vs Bonnar
—
Blue corner
W1
Linton Vassell
"The Swarm"
19-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Bellator 134: The British Invas…
—