Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Thomas Diagne
Mike Malott
40%
60%
Why
32
Age
Δ 8y
24
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
Diagne: 68 sig / 2 TD ·
Malott: 68 sig / 2 TD
Thomas Diagne
Mike Malott
38
Sig strikes landed
49
90
Sig strikes attempted
103
51
Total strikes landed
71
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.8
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
110s
Control time
179s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Thomas Diagne
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Age
32
Blue corner
Mike Malott
"Proper"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24