Back to Bellator 141: Guillard vs. Girtz
Welterweight

Curtis Millender vs Steven Ciaccio

Bellator 141: Guillard vs. Girtz ·Pechanga Resort & Casino
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Curtis Millender
Steven Ciaccio
92% 8%
Why
L2
Current streak
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2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Curtis Millender
Steven Ciaccio
43
Sig strikes landed
40
99
Sig strikes attempted
81
49
Total strikes landed
53
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.60
Knockdowns
0.30
117s
Control time
81s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Curtis Millender

"Curtious"
17-6
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L Bellator 137: Halsey vs. Grove
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L Bellator 134: The British Invas…
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Blue corner

Steven Ciaccio

"Stryker"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"